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Measurement and Objectives

When I ask companies what their marketing objective is , they often say, “to increase sales.” Obviously, that is a vague. What are the most cost effective ways to increase sales? More sales from existing customers? Acquisition of competitor’s customers? Turning non-users into users? We need to be more specific about who we are targeting to obtain incremental sales. Once we know that, we can explore various options for achieving the objective and estimate the cost effectiveness of each.

Naturally, we will want to measure the success of the effort once we execute it. However, comparing total sales in the test period with total sales in the previous period can be extremely crude. It invites dozens of additional variables to influence the measured outcome. How can we be sure the new marketing communications were the cause of the change in sales? The other extreme is strict sales attribution, “Our sourcing attributed 10 sales to the new communication effort.” This assumes that there is no integration between your various marketing communications efforts. I certainly hope that is not the case, and it today’s environment of hyper-connected consumers it would be nearly impossible to achieve even if you wanted to.

The trick is to find the variable of mix of variables that best relate to the new communication effort as a cause for the desired activity leading toward a sale. Notice I said leading toward a sale. It will probably not be the sale itself. The mix of variables should include not just the medium used by your organization’s use of that medium. If it’s a listing a product, then your merchandising has a big impact on the contacts coming out of that listings service. If you are buying leads, then your organization’s lead handling has a big impact on the number of appointments set through those leads.

Strict attribution from one marketing activity to a precise number of sales is an illusion most businesses cannot afford. Measure the things you know contribute to sales and can be attributed to the marketing activity you are trying to measure. Your decision-making will improve, and your frustration level will go down.

Online Vehicle Merchandising

My new book, Online Vehicle Merchandising, is now available on Amazon.com and will be available soon through other common channels. The book is based on a concept I brought forward in my first book, Sales Integration, that online merchandising is selling rather than advertising.

The importance of getting vehicles rapidly merchandised with photos, videos, and text descriptions is central to the sale of vehicles when roughly 80% of shoppers are starting their vehicle shopping process online. But the advantages don't end there. This same information is what allows those answering phone calls, emails, and chats to set more appointments and bring those shoppers to the store more ready to buy.

Good online vehicle merchandising also helps floor sales people understand their products better and gain credibility with the customer. Increasingly, dealers are providing tablet computers to their sales people, allowing them to bring together the technological touchpoints the shopper had been experiencing with the human touchpoint the sales person provides and many customers are suspicious of.  This credibility through online documentation only works if the data exists and is accurate.

The book was written for dealership owners and GMs. The perspective of the book is vendor neutral and objective toward the controversy regarding whether dealerships should merchandise vehicles in-house or contract out to service providers. The dealer is provided with sufficient information to make the right decision for their store.

Online Vehicle Merchandising is available in paperback for $10.00. A Kindle version will be available soon for $5.00. The book is well illustrated with original photos and diagrams, as well as photos provided by cDemo, CDM, and Dealer Specialties.

The New Wave of Sales and Marketing Tools

Classification is important to understanding, and I'm concerned our industry is off on the wrong foot. I'm hearing a lot about new mobile applications, but apps fall into a number of tool classifications. Some simply do what you tell them to do; some help you remember how to do it, and others extend your management programs to guide or control the work of others. Here are the four categories as I see it:

1) Wrenches and typewriters have no memory. There is nothing about them that can help the user understand the process of tightening bolts or writing letters. These non-memory tools are great for users who know or can figure out the process of completing the task without assistance. The user works the tool.

2) Many software products come with a help button. The process for completing a task is recorded in the help menu and can be called up when needed. The user accesses additional process memory within the tool.

3) Everything in Microsoft office has a multitude of features, but does not memorize processes unless a macro is created to do that. Macros do tasks according to a recorded process. The user starts the process as recorded within the tool.

4) A GPS determines the process for getting somewhere, then tells the user what to do. This is what some of the new apps coming out offer, and it is a boon to areas like sales and marketing involving complex processes. The tool directs the user.

I'm going to call this fourth group management tools, because they manage the actions of others. This is often essential for process control.

Configurator tools guide shoppers through the path of designing their dream car. More recently, apps are being sold that guide the salesperson through the sales process or guide the F&I manager through the menu process. The if-then nature of computer programming allows for branching, making it possible for the system to design a nearly infinite number of process combinations. Each solution is produced to optimize the process based on the situation as input. The user is guided through a process of information inputs, and those inputs optimize the remainder of the process.

A Canadian company, cDemo, caught my eye in Dallas several months ago with their Mobile Inspector Application. It guides the user through a process that simultaneously develops vehicle photos, live video, and a vehicle condition report. That process varies from vehicle to vehicle. The photos for a pickup truck are not the same as for an SUV or a sedan. If something is found to be wrong in the vehicle condition report, additional detail is captured on that item. There must be millions of combinations, but the user doesn't have to remember any of them. Just about anyone can complete the process. In fact, cDemo asserts it's so easy a monkey could do it, and it all happens on an iPhone or Droid based smart phone.

This is a radical departure in the purpose of tools, yet it is not entirely new. Twenty years ago, I had a sales interview that involved me giving a sales presentation on the product of my choice. I sold them on buying my Hewlett Packard 19B programmable calculator for each sales person. Buy programming in the formulas for quoting rates, no salesperson would ever again need to remember the variables, the formulas, or how to execute. The program tells them what variables to entry and takes care of everything else. No more missed information, no more miscalculations. Sales people could function faster and more perfectly by letting the tool direct them. I provided break-even analysis to demonstrate the how quickly this simple management tool could pay for itself. The interviewing team quickly understood the importance of management tools in sales and marketing. Needless to say, I was offered the job.

If you can hire highly skilled professionals, it may make sense to give them tools they control, and maybe even tools with additional memory support. However, if the process and discipline is more than your people can live up to, then put a tool in place that runs the employee the way you want them to be run. Most of these tools can be modified by the manager. For example, the cDemo tool allows steps to be added or deleted from the process by the manager or through company support.

In many ways, these new tools are an extension of management, and it is badly needed. The cars we sell and merchandise are more complex than ever. The buyers are more knowledgeable than ever. But the people selling and merchandising vehicles are generally not any more talented than those we worked with ten years ago. These management tools are not coming out a moment too soon. If you want to insist that vehicles be sold or merchandised the way you want it done, then consider duplicating yourself through one of these new tools that manage your people in your absence.

Yes, I do practice what I preach. I've developed internal tools to guide myself, preventing mistakes when I'm working tired. I've talked to several companies about helping them develop and/or market management tools and will remain involved in this growing field as it relates to the marketing and sales of durable goods. I recently lured my brother, Gary Galbraith, into the auto industry to help cDemo introduce their new tool in the United States. As I look at the collision course of product complexity, product proliferation, transparency to the consumer, and an undereducated workforce, these tools appear essential to the future profitability of retailers. Management tools cannot be looked at as just another kind of application.

Hear Dennis Live!

While Dennis' frequent posts on RevenueGuru.com are nice, nothing compares to hearing Dennis live. Here is a list of his upcoming presentations, panels, and webinars. Click the links for more information and registration.

Great speakers feed off one another at these events. This is the same team that made the cover of Dealer Marketing magazine in August.

Back with Brian Pasch, Glenn Pasch, Paul Potratz and the rest of the PCG Pit Stop crew.

This 90-minute webinar will be Dennis' most in-depth presentation on this core topic.

The Digital Dealer conference likes to open with a bang, and this year is no different. Dennis joins Nick Gidwani, President of CarZen, in an eye opening and profitable presentation about iPad owners and how these devices are changing their car shopping experience. 1:00 PM on Wednesday, opening day, session 104.

At 1:30, Dennis joins an expert panel moderated by Eric Miltsch, one of the brightest practitioners in automotive internet. The topic is Proven Expert Tips To Manage Your Website For Optimal Conversion. At 2:20, Dennis goes solo on the presentations he's been working months to develop, Hard Social Media Data: Analytics That Prove Your Return or Wasteful Investment.

Jared Hamilton will lead this select panel (Paul Potratz, Dennis, and Ben Anderson) in a discussion on Automotive Mobile Strategies, Game Mechanics and User Behavior

The Year of the iPad

Year of the iPad

In 1982, Time Magazine proclaimed the computer to be Machine of the Year. It was the first time anything other than a person or group of people received person of the year distinction from the famed publication.  That year, Apple Computer became the first PC manufacturer to reach $1 billion in annual sales. It took another two years to launch the Macintosh computer, and first year sales were 275,000 units. Today, it takes Apple less than three days to sell that many iPads. The company is quiet about total sales, but 9.25 million per quarter is thought to be a safe estimate by many experts. Nothing in the history of personal computing has ever captivated consumers the way the iPad is right now. A few months ago, PC sales declined for the first time ever, due largely to the strong preference for iPads.

The success of the iPad is not due entirely to the device. Over 90,000 apps are available for the iPad. These apps are generally far easier to navigate and use than websites. This is the case for automobile shopping as well. Even in its current, early form, the CarZen application is a fresh departure from any automotive shopping site online. More advancements will be made, and consumers will likely shift as quickly to advanced iPad shopping apps as they are to the device itself.

Once the novelty of games and socialization wears off, iPad owners begin to recognize the business and shopping benefits of these mobile machines. When talking about purchase options, couples can share the screen in a way not possible with smartphones, and they can exchange facial expressions in a way not possible from separate desktops. With complete mobility, they are taking their devices onto dealer lots with pride and confidence. The prime time for iPad use is evenings and weekends for things like shopping. Millions of consumers put down their smartphones and laptops because the iPad is the best way to consume content.

In my mystery shopping, I have been amazed to find many salespeople caught off guard by shoppers comparing window stickers to iPad results and carrying their mobile devices with them to the bargaining table. Make no mistake, 2011 will be remembered as the year of the iPad. Stores that are not ready to change where they place their inventory and how their great their shoppers will suffer a huge competitive disadvantage to those that are.

CarZen President, Nick Gidwani, and I are developing presentations to help GMs and dealer principles get their stores ready for the iPad revolution that is already underway. One or both of us will be easy to find at most major automotive marketing events, including PCG Pit Stops, Digital Dealer, DrivingSales Executive Summit, and more to be announced. As a reader of RevenueGuru.com, you are free to call me directly at 910-339-9700 or email me at DennisGalbraith@gmail.com. I'm happy to answer your immediate questions and add you to our distribution list for upcoming whitepapers and webinars. I'm going to do all I can over the remainder of this year to help dealers adapt to these consumer changes and profit at the expense of those who do not.

Multivariate Analysis and Why You Can't Live Without It

 

In 1993 I gave marketing presentations with a cube. The three dimensions of the cube signified three marketing variables: price, distribution expense, and advertising expense. The cube opened up to reveal the color-coded portion where the total contribution to gross profit was achieved. I went on to explain how each product has its own cube and how product lines of products are interdependent upon one another. I further went on to explain how decisions made at one point in time impact the possibilities frontier for future points in time. The fact is, I usually lost a large portion of the audience with the basic cube.

Many people are simply not very good at working with more than two variables at a time. If fact, the overly simplistic two-by-two matrix remains one of the most important communication tools in business management. Not being able to look past two variables is a real problem when it comes to maximizing total yield. I read it in blog conversations all the time. When it comes to discussing the impact of multiple variables, the discussion breaks down to "I just think..." or "I just feel..."

The facility, insurance, energy consumption, and other relatively fixed costs are going to be consumed through the month whether the store has any customers or not. One must recognize inventory for the profit potential it represents relative to time. Advertising and sales can expand the per-unit profit  and/or the volume of units. It can also expand the number of cross-sell opportunities. It is impossible to maximize the yield of the store dealing with only one or two marketing variables at a time.

As an example: If you price your vehicles to turn the inventory rapidly, then you must spend sufficiently on F&I staffing, training, and products to capitalize on the high number of transactions. You must also buy the right vehicles. It does little good to price vehicles at 95% of the market average if there is a 120 day supply of them in the market. None of this is going to work without sufficiently exposing the inventory to consumers, but that won't work either without the proper level of vehicle merchandising. Many of the potential contacts are not going to happen without sufficient chat coverage. Many of the opportunities from those that contact the store will be squandered without the right level of staffing and training for floor sales as well as phone and email handling.

You don't need to make dozens of decisions; your strategy dictates what you need to do to maximize yield. It is imperative that you understand how each of the marketing variables interact with one another, both at a fixed point in time and over time.

I fully recognize that your grandfather and mine did pretty well in the business without spending countless hours manipulating a slide rule. However, the expansion of shopping radii and the national transparency of market information are changing all that. The dealership of tomorrow will compete with spreadsheet loving quant geeks like me. If you can't juggle multiple variables simultaneously, then you need to latch onto someone who can.

The challenge for those of us who are comfortable with multiple variables and understand marketing holistically is to communicate with and win the trust of those who struggle with it. The above paragraphs are an example of why we need to step up to this challenge, not at all an example of how to. I'm developing better communication tools for the PCG Pit Stop, DrivingSales Executive Summit, Digital Dealer, as well as my webinars and articles. The balance is in first helping people recognize what they don't know and must, then being able to show them how they can understand or at least work with those who do. Failure to achieve both these objectives will result in business failure for many dealerships and gross underperformance for many more.

 

A Deeper Look at Reputation Management

The success of a dealer's reputation management strategy impacts virtually every other marketing activity. Dealers must go beyond the surface items, like reviews, to the core issue, relationship. Asking for reviews is essential, but having the kind of relationships that earn more reviews and more glowing reviews is the ultimate challenge.

I've been blessed over the past few weeks to listen to some real experts on reputation management and social media via the PCG Pit Stops: Brian Pasch, Paul Portratz, Kathi Kruse, JD Rucker, Gary May, Ralph Paglia, and others. These encounters were eye opening for me. Many dealers have done a fantastic job of soliciting reviews after the sale; however, this is but one touchpoint. A relationship spanning multiple touchpoints yields the following benefits:

  1. Greater likelihood of generating one or more reviews
  2. More top-box reviews
  3. More online and offline advocacy of the dealership
  4. More service revenue
  5. Greater likelihood of repeat sales (loyalty)

Relationship Management

After talking to Continental Warranty's Vice President, Tony Volpe, I began to realize the real power of warranty products that incentivize the customer to return for service. Continental offers products that wave the deductable if the shopper returns to the dealer for covered services and repairs. It doesn't take much imagination to visualize this program producing not only more revenue and more touch points with the consumer but more and better reviews, more repeat sales, and more advocacy of the dealership.

Both medical and social science have demonstrated the imperfections associated with human memory. Our brains change over time, and so do our memories. The way we recall events, feelings, and conversations is not consistent over time. Therefore, it is risky to expect even the best sales experience today to generate a lasting, untended relationship. This may have little impact on packaged goods companies with purchase cycles measured in weeks or months, but it can have a huge impact on providers of durable goods like automobiles and motorcycles. Locking in the customer's service business locks in a stream of future touchpoints that can strengthen the relationship and ultimately have a positive impact on the dealership's reputation.

Much has been said about the simple fact that service lanes produce far more customer touchpoints than the showroom. It is also clear that dealers need to do more with their service business to feed their reputation management effort. Taking this all the way back to offering a complete complement of service contract products may not be obvious, but can be impactful.

When we look at the kind of touchpoints strengthening relationships, we find that many of them add additional profit at the same time. This is the nature of commerce, we enhance quality of life by making more of the right kind of sales. Step back and take a deeper look at your reputation management strategy. You may find some fantastic opportunities to add touchpoints that strengthen the relationship while growing profits. 

Google+ for Dealership Salespeople

When I sold cars in 1979, I never dreamed there would come a day when I could instantly turn the news of the day into store traffic with a high preference for my product, my store, and myself. Google+ is extremely easy to use and will become an powerful tool in the hands of savvy salespeople.

If a recall notice comes in on the 2008 Camry, you can instantly post the information to people you sold a 2008 Camry to. You'll probably want to include some information about the new Camry and any specials you have going on. By creating a circle for your 2008 Camry buyers within Google+, you are ready to communicate with the right people at the right time. You probably have the email addresses of many of your previous customers. It's worth the time to re-engage them with Google+. This is especially true if they already have a Google account, but don't limit your effort to just customers with a Gmail address.

When a new lease deal is rolled out, you can instantly sent it to the shoppers you leased a vehicle to several years ago. It is possible to have a circle for each future month when leases expire. Customers you've stayed engage with can be located in the appropriate circle corresponding to their lease termination month. This is very different than an email program to customers with expiring leases. This is the salesperson who got them into the lease staying engaged with them throughout their ownership period with relevant information. But he also knows when to reach out to that circle of lease holders facing expiration.

That same customer might also be in your "Truck Buyers" circle. When a new accessory or new model comes out, you can let your truck customers know about it as easily as you post to Facebook today, but without sending that message out to people you sold cars or vans to.

There has never been a better time for individual sales people to take responsibility for their own success. The old Facebook style of social engagement was broadcasting out the same message to the same group of friends. Now, you can organize the shoppers and buyers you continue to engage with into circles that make it easy to send the right information to the right person at the right time. The more and longer you engage your shoppers with advanced social media like Google+ the faster your book of business will grow through loyalty and advocacy.

With Google+, there is no need to worry about comingling your business life and personal life. You may very well want to share some personal things with the customers you engage, but you can expose some messages exclusively to family members or friends within the same system. With the social media tools available today, there is no reason why any salesperson should continue to take ups after their first year. The potential for fantastic loyalty and advocacy from your friends, family, and former customers is great than it has ever been.

Objective Based Budgeting for Dealers

Advertising budgets are formulated in any number of ways. Most professionals and academics find Objective Based Budgeting yields a superior result to the "I just feel" method, yet the latter dominates among dealers. I bring this up not as a criticism but as a demonstration of opportunity.

Competition will continue to intensify among car dealers. The shopping radius of consumers continues to grow, and the transparency of market information to consumers continues to increase. Under these conditions, every competitive advantage matters. A store spending $40,000 per month with 90% efficiency will bring 50% more traffic to the store with the same budget compared to a store advertising with 60% efficiency. Sadly, we are finding stores that are performing at considerably less than 50%.

Advertising is the devil's playground. There are many temptations - attractive sales people, the ability to be seen on television, a bias for what worked years ago or what one thinks they know how to utilize. Many advertising products have no variable cost to the seller, making wild discounts possible. This naturally appeals to people used to selling products with very high variable costs, but it does not change the fact that 60% off the rate card may still be a very poor option. The best way to discipline yourself and avoid these temptations is to base all advertising and marketing decisions on sound performance metrics and Objective Based Budgeting.

What Isn't Going to Change

I spend a fair amount of time contributing to discussion sites for various durable goods industries. It's a bit disappointing to me that so much time is spent talking about what is changing or what will change. I'm not downplaying the importance of forward thinking, quite the opposite. Some years back, I learned an extremely valuable lesson from Jeff Bezos of Amason.com, focus your thinking on what is not going to change. Here are a few examples of things that will not change:

Mobile – For ever more, shoppers will want access to a transparent marketplace wherever they go. Mobile does not always mean mobile phones. More and more people are shopping with their iPad or other tablet device both at home and on the road. Along with this change, many shoppers are relying less on websites and more on apps. Don't get too hung up on devices and software, they will change. The demand for mobile access is what will remain constant. Think about how that impacts marketing today and tomorrow.

Text – Whether it is in the form of snail mail, email, chat, or anything else, communicating with text is here to stay. There will always be times when it is just not appropriate to speak. Text is the silent method of communication. It used to be that text was the nearly exclusive form of information storage. That seems to be changing, as we can see with podcasts and YouTube. However, the need for text as the silent form of communication will not change. It may benefit from more added illustration and graphics, but text will remain.

Audio – Communication using sound alone will never be as powerful as using site, sound, motion, and interactivity together. However, there will always be times when we want to communicate or absorb information while remaining site free and hands free. Driving is the classic case for audio communication today, and that may change as driverless vehicles emerge. However, there will always be times when hands and eyes are required for activities that do not fully engage us. For those times, audio is essential.

Value Demonstration – How shoppers gain transparency into the market has changed and will keep changing. What will remain constant is the need to demonstrate value relative to other options and/or whatever situation the customer is living with now. There are lots of ways of defining value. My favorite is simply benefits divided by cost. In every exchange, the shopper will be getting something (an act, promise, or good) in return for something (usually money, the promise to pay money, or an exchanged product). Demonstrating that the value of your product is superior to other alternatives is a core competency that will continue to be needed for all but commodities. Value demonstrations don't need to occur in every form of communication, but ultimately they do need to be available and always will.